The sure frontrunner here is going to be Molly’s Game. Aaron Sorkin is widely considered one of the best screenwriters alive, and thought a lot of attention will be on his directorial debut, his writing is sure to be just as amazing as ever, Next in line will likely be The Post, Steven Speilberg’s next film. The Post is about journalists and is penned (in-part) by Josh Singer, who won this category two years ago for a move about journalists (Spotlight.) With the film likely to be a Best Picture player, there’s no reason to think it won’t be nominated here.
Though it’s not written by any Oscar-winning or nominated writers, Mudbound is the next most likely nominee. The film looks to be a Best Picture player, and as Netflix’s main shot at Oscars, I think the campaign is going to be really strong. The Beguiled is next, and despite it being a summer release, I think Sofia Coppola’s simply brilliant adaptation will hold thtough. Finally, my fifth prediction is The Disaster Artist. It’s still unclear how much of a player The Disaster Artist will be overall, but seeing as it scored second at the Toronto Film Festival, I think it could be a bigger player then we expect.
There are still eight more films with strong potential, though. Call Me By Your Name could surprise in multiple categories, including this one. Brian Selznick’s adaptation of his own novel Wonderstruck, could also come into play. Richard Linklater could go for his fourth writing nomination with Last Flag Flying. And if Blade Runner 2049 ends up being the all-around player it could be, a writing nomination is very possible. There’s also The Glass Castle, Murder on the Orient Express, Stronger, and Victoria and Abdul that could come into play.
Updated October 26, 2017
Next in Line:
Still in it:
Also in the Race:
Red Sparrow Wonder The Death of Stalin Logan
War for the Planet of the Apes The Snowman Thank You for Your Service Wildlife
How to Talk to Girls at Parties Tulip Fever