The current frontrunner for Best Supporting Actress is Melissa Leo, who won the category seven years ago, but has yet to be nominated since. Her film, Novitiate isn’t one you’re going to see in any other categories, but Leo’s performance has gotten so much praise, that I think some attention form the critics awards and Leo is a sure nominee. The next most likely is Kristin Scott Thomas for Darkest Hour, playing Clementine Churchill. The film is going to be a major all-around player, and Scott’s work is sure to be good enough to secure a nomination.
The next two most likely players are two women who have never before been nominated. Allison Janney in I, Tonya and Laurie Metcalf in Lady Bird have both been getting a lot of attention for their performances. Almost everyone’s claiming their work is more than good enough, and with the extra underdog advantage, I think you can count on a nomination for these two.
Those four spots seem fairly locked down right now, while the fifth one is much more open. My top pic is Tatiana Maslany for Stronger. Playing opposite a sure-to-be quality performance from Jake Gyllenhaal, I can see the Orphan Black star adding a Oscar nom to her resume. Her main competition will be the little-known Hong Chau in Downsizing. Chau isn’t a familiar face by any means, but supposedly she steals the show in Alexander Payne’s latest. Personally, I want to see the film before I put her in the top five.
Also in competition are Julianne Moore for Suburbicon, Michelle Pfeiffer for mother!, Margot Robbie for Goodbye Christopher Robin, Naomi Watts for The Glass Castle, Kirsten Dunst for The Beguiled, Claire Foy for Breathe, and Holly Hunter for The Big Sick.
Updated 22 October, 2017
Next in Line:
Still in it:
Also in the Race:
Diane Lane – Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House
Rosamund Pike – Hostiles Haley Bennett – Thank You for Your Service
Jennifer Jason Leigh – LBJ Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake Jennifer Connelly – Only the Brave
Olga Kurylenko – The Death of Stalin Rebecca Ferguson – The Snowman
Carrie Fisher – Star Wars: Episode VIII – The Last Jedi Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck
Nicole Kidman – How to Talk to Girls at Parties Cara Delevigne – Tulip Fever Judi Dench – Tulip Fever