Best Actress in a Leading Role

Holy cow, Best Actress is stacked.

Two of the three frontruners are Frances McDormand and Sally Hawkins, who star in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and The Shape of Water, currently the two Best Picture frontrunners. Their performances and the films they’re in guarantee the two nominations. The third frontrunner, and currently the most likely winner, is Margot Robbie for I, Tonya. Robbie’s career is perfectly on track for an Oscar nomination, and this role looks like it could even make for an Oscar win.

Those three are the guaranteed nominees, and fighting for the final two spots are nine different performances. Jessica Chastain has the best chance, though it might largely depend on how much of an all-around player Molly’s Game ends up being. On the flipside is Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird, whose performance and type of character could very well be the film’s sole nomination. And though we don’t have any trailer to go off of yet, Meryl Streep acting under Steven Spielberg’s direction in The Post is about as good as the recipe gets for a Best Actress nom.

The rest of the competition includes Kate Winslet in Woody Allen’s Wonder Wheel, Jennifer Lawrence in mother!, Annette Bening in Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Emma Stone in Battle of the Sexes, Carey Mulligan in Mudbound, and Judi Dench reprising her performance as Queen Victoria in Victoria and Abdul, twenty years after she was nominated for the same role in Mrs. Brown.

Updated October 22nd, 2017


Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water      Margot Robbie – I, Tonya

 Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game      Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird

Next in Line:

Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel      Meryl Streep – The Post         Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!

Still in it:

Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool           Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes

Carey Mulligan – Mudbound        Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul          Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled

Also in the Race:

Brie Larson – The Glass Castle         Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project          Lily Collins – To the Bone

  Jennifer Lawrence – Red Sparrow           Natalie Portman – Planetarium          Elizabeth Olsen – Wind River

Isabel Huppert – Happy End           Eva Green – Euphoria       Alicia Vikander – Euphoria

Rooney Mara – A Ghost Story          Elle Fanning – Mary Shelly           Elle Fanning – How to Talk to Girls at Parties

Alicia Vikander – Tulip Fever          Kate Winslet – The Mountain Between Us

Best Picture | Best Director | Best Actor in a Leading Role | Best Actress in a Leading Role

Best Actor in a Supporting Role | Best Actress in a Supporting Role | Best Adapted Screenplay | Best Original Screenplay

Best Animated Film | Best Cinematography | Best Production Design | Best Costume Design

Best Makeup and Hairstyling | Best Original Song | Best Original Score 

Best Film Editing | Best Sound Mixing | Best Sound Editing | Best Visual Effects

Best Documentary Feature | Best Foreign Language Film

Best Documentary, Short Subject | Best Short Film, Animated | Best Short Film, Live Action