Holy cow, Best Actress is stacked.
Two of the three frontruners are Frances McDormand and Sally Hawkins, who star in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and The Shape of Water, currently the two Best Picture frontrunners. Their performances and the films they’re in guarantee the two nominations. The third frontrunner, and currently the most likely winner, is Margot Robbie for I, Tonya. Robbie’s career is perfectly on track for an Oscar nomination, and this role looks like it could even make for an Oscar win.
Those three are the guaranteed nominees, and fighting for the final two spots are nine different performances. Jessica Chastain has the best chance, though it might largely depend on how much of an all-around player Molly’s Game ends up being. On the flipside is Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird, whose performance and type of character could very well be the film’s sole nomination. And though we don’t have any trailer to go off of yet, Meryl Streep acting under Steven Spielberg’s direction in The Post is about as good as the recipe gets for a Best Actress nom.
The rest of the competition includes Kate Winslet in Woody Allen’s Wonder Wheel, Jennifer Lawrence in mother!, Annette Bening in Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Emma Stone in Battle of the Sexes, Carey Mulligan in Mudbound, and Judi Dench reprising her performance as Queen Victoria in Victoria and Abdul, twenty years after she was nominated for the same role in Mrs. Brown.
Updated October 22nd, 2017
Next in Line:
Still in it:
Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes
Also in the Race:
Jennifer Lawrence – Red Sparrow Natalie Portman – Planetarium Elizabeth Olsen – Wind River
Isabel Huppert – Happy End Eva Green – Euphoria Alicia Vikander – Euphoria
Rooney Mara – A Ghost Story Elle Fanning – Mary Shelly Elle Fanning – How to Talk to Girls at Parties
Alicia Vikander – Tulip Fever Kate Winslet – The Mountain Between Us